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Running in Place?

There can be no mistaking the recent flurry of diplomatic activity on the US-China front. US Secretary of State Antony Blinken’s June visit to Beijing has quickly been followed a similar mission of Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen. And press reports indicate that John...

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Bidenomics with Chinese Characteristics

Bidenomics seems increasingly likely to play a pivotal role in US President Joe Biden’s upcoming 2024 presidential election campaign. With great fanfare in a June 28 speech in Chicago, he offered a stirring endorsement of “industrial policy” as the centerpiece of his...

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Another Slip of the Tongue

Joe Biden has done it again.  His depiction of Xi Jinping as a “dictator” at a private fundraising event on June 20 is yet another setback on the road to US-China conflict resolution. Two days later, in playing down his faux pas, Biden insisted, “I don’t think it’s...

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A Dead End for Diplomacy?

As the US Secretary of State wings his way toward Beijing — finally, I add, emphatically— the focus of the US-China conflict shifts back toward diplomacy. Unfortunately, this mission is shaping up as a painful reminder of what is missing in the realm of US-China...

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The Heat is On in Taiwan

The “theory” of accidental conflict is quite simple. US-China conflict escalation, as per my recent book, draws its sustenance from the high-octane fuel of dueling false narratives that both nations project on the other. It doesn't take much of a spark to ignite such...

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Elon and Jamie

A CNBC headline exclaimed, “A flood of US execs head to China.” CNN dubbed it a “flock.” A trickle would probably have been a better choice of words. Yes, two high-profile CEOs, Elon Musk of Tesla and Jamie Dimon of JP Morgan, were back in China this week. But in the...

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China’s AI Problem

Chinese censorship inserts a big “if” into its AI-enabled future. Its aggressive editing of information is a major pitfall for a ChatGPT with Chinese characteristics. By wiping the historical slate clean of important events and the human experiences associated with...

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Two Summits

All eyes are on the G-7 summit this weekend (May 19-21) in Hiroshima, Japan—a painfully historic setting for a world in turmoil. The issues are many but three seem likely to get the greatest attention—the war in Ukraine, climate change, and China. While there is some...

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Conflict Fatigue

After a while, it starts to seem like “same old, same old.” Week after week, I detail on these pages yet another twist in the seemingly never-ending US-China conflict—from tariffs and sanctions to 5G telecommunications equipment and advanced semiconductors, from...

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Coping with a Tech War

The United States has dispelled any doubts about its intentions to squeeze China’s rise as a technology superpower. Starting with a mid-September 2022 speech by National Security Director Jake Sullivan that laid out the broad parameters of the case against China, the...

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