Month: August 2024

Inflation Update: From Biden to Harris to Powell to Trump

The Democrats have changed presidential candidates, but a key problem remains the same: while the inflation rate has come way down, for the average American, the price level remains unacceptably high. You would never know that from the market response and commentary...

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The Cacophony of a Hundred Flowers

It is a major understatement to say that that China’s growth problem has received a good deal of recent attention. The chart below, drawn from Google’s “Ngram" book viewer,” measures the frequency at which the phrase “China’s weak economy” appears in scanned sources...

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The Nuanced View on China

In one key respect, Tim Walz offers a breath of fresh air in a chaotic US presidential election campaign. His common-sense approach to tough and complex issues defies the hyper-polarization that has gripped America. Nowhere is this more evident than in his nuanced...

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Kamala Harris and China

Donald Trump has long had strong adversarial views on China, both as America’s 45th president and now as the Republican candidate for a second term. Over the past couple of weeks, I have detailed what I would expect on China policy in a Trump 2.0 scenario, focusing...

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